MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050fd4306c3819665d77e4efbf9ad6cc8085b10e7fe19a08ad66247372cbdfe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 54c | 157,553$85,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,062.06 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 153,513$70,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,932.4 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 46c | 9,410$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.99 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 8,852$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.86 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 55c | 5,838$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.9 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 5,179$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.11 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 47c | 4,066$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.21 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 45c | 2,198$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.04 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 47c | 1,077$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.9 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 59c | 1,013$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.88 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 914.62$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.63 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 55c | 675.83$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.22 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 53c | 652.7$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 536.42$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 457.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 393.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 365.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 55c | 349.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Under | 5c | 324.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 300.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 60c | 295.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 283.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 281.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 39c | 250.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 228.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 55c | 218.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 52c | 201.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 47c | 186.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 54c | 184.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 55c | 177.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 54c | 164.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 54c | 156.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 148.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 129.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 127.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 55c | 126.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 47c | 124.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 61c | 122.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 121.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 119.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 119.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 117.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Under | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 55c | 110.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Under | 54c | 107.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 46c | 92.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed Under | 55c | 82.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 56c | 80.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Under | 55c | 78.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 43c | 76.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 72.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 47c | 72.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 47c | 72.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 47c | 72.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 47c | 72.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 47c | 72.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 68.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 47c | 61.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 59c | 61.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 47c | 59.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 57.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 45c | 54.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 47c | 49.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 60c | 46.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 55c | 44.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 62c | 44.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 54c | 42.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Over | 46c | 41.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 49c | 39.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Under | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…7558backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…7579backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 46c | 31.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…0ccfbacked Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.