NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1576523c49131f7c6168874b0a14876ac4d935419f6bb090240213b64dc9ab36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ce0…59d5backed Under | 0c | 96,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 4,979$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.95 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 37c | 2,369$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.73 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 64c | 575$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 263.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 33c | 173.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 33c | 152.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…3670backed Over | 70c | 143.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 122.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 34c | 116$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 32c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 34c | 45.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 39c | 42.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 34c | 35.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9f…80d8backed Over | 66c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 75c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 73c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. OilersOilers won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-2.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.