NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c34bb1fcd1ea96fb1a10fae89b8ae09dc9649a7cf4650c3d2649c90c6b2e7d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,111 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over	63c	28,188$17,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,378.5	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	36c	24,216$8,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,713.47	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	37c	6,401$2,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,376.5	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	64c	4,956$3,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,784.17	403	56.3%227 W · 176 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under	0c	4,885$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	46c	2,139$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.96	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	54c	1,795$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.11	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	48c	1,669$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.76	229	46.3%106 W · 123 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	46c	1,627$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.25	261	54%141 W · 120 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over	52c	1,550$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under	48c	1,300$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.99	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	36c	1,016$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.29	1,202	60.1%722 W · 480 L	+51.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	46c	436$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.56	429	48.7%209 W · 220 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over	63c	416.73$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.8	294	48.6%143 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	64c	400$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	353	49.6%175 W · 178 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	335.18$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.84	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	47c	332.14$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.46	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under	46c	302.48$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.14	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over	65c	300.18$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.62	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	57c	290.38$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	30c	270.85$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.38	115	33.9%39 W · 76 L	-9.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Over	54c	268.14$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.34	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	64c	249.52$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a2…1053backed Over	52c	217.9$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.59	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…94b8backed Under	49c	210.82$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over	51c	205.88$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.88	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d4d…b098backed Under	50c	200.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	43c	187.7$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.7	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee1…c8aabacked Over	54c	185.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.37	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	55c	185.17$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.32	624	47.3%295 W · 329 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under	46c	175.14$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d5…531bbacked Over	56c	157.57$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.33	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	47c	148$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.56	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under	47c	123.45$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.02	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	55c	122.43$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.09	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	34c	119.64$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.92	345	47.8%165 W · 180 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over	54c	118.41$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.52	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac2…f772backed Under	48c	116.2$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	33c	115.69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.86	823	53.1%437 W · 386 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under	40c	110$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	94	57.4%54 W · 40 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over	54c	107$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.22	206	55.3%114 W · 92 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under	36c	101.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	427	50.8%217 W · 210 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.5	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	202	45%91 W · 111 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under	19c	97.87$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	46c	74.67$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.35	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	191	53.4%102 W · 89 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under	46c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under	45c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	106	67.9%72 W · 34 L	+16.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Over	52c	69.75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.48	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed Under	48c	66.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over	66c	66.33$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	52c	65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	216	51.4%111 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under	37c	54.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	189	41.8%79 W · 110 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bc…ec35backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	46c	44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	860	49.2%423 W · 437 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa302…de94backed Under	48c	40.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	268	49.6%133 W · 135 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under	35c	39.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-8.2wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over	66c	36.7$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	46c	35.28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	456	51.5%235 W · 221 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over	65c	34.1$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	+6.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over	55c	33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.85	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under	36c	33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over	52c	31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	130	50%65 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over	64c	30.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under	36c	30.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	222	55.9%124 W · 98 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Over	58c	25.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over	52c	24.23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.54	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Over	51c	24.19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10fe…9af6backed Under	47c	21.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over	64c	21.64$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over	67c	21.4$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca5…9988backed Over	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775f…c82dbacked Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
Canucks vs. OilersOilers won
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)Oilers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event