NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf0de79c1773ed9685274bb0b82dcb41185d783e389a6e043f37c063790aac29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 45c | 21,614$9,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,725.41 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Oilers | 55c | 15,120$8,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Oilers | 55c | 4,909$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 70c | 1,053$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 31c | 876.05$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Canucks | 46c | 693.14$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Oilers | 53c | 643.54$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.47 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Canucks | 47c | 620.62$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 56c | 582.37$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Oilers | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Canucks | 46c | 506.72$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Oilers | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 46c | 438.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Canucks | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Oilers | 53c | 383.22$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Canucks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Oilers | 52c | 286.53$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Canucks | 46c | 249.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Oilers | 54c | 217.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…413abacked Canucks | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Oilers | 57c | 204.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…9470backed Oilers | 54c | 194.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Canucks | 30c | 191.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Oilers | 54c | 188.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Canucks | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Oilers | 55c | 178.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Canucks | 36c | 160.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Oilers | 57c | 152.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Canucks | 46c | 149.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 43c | 136.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Canucks | 47c | 133.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Oilers | 51c | 118.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canucks | 44c | 116.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Oilers | 56c | 113.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 38c | 107.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Canucks | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Oilers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Canucks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Oilers | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Oilers | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Oilers | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Oilers | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Oilers | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Canucks | 48c | 81.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…6e8fbacked Oilers | 55c | 79.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Oilers | 55c | 72.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Oilers | 55c | 71.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Oilers | 55c | 67.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Oilers | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Canucks | 49c | 53.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Oilers | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Oilers | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Canucks | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Oilers | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Oilers | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Oilers | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Canucks | 47c | 37.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Canucks | 30c | 37.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Oilers | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Oilers | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Canucks | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Oilers | 70c | 33.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked Canucks | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Canucks | 45c | 28.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Canucks | 46c | 27.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Oilers | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…3de0backed Oilers | 55c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…63eebacked Oilers | 55c | 22.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canucks | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Canucks | 48c | 20.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…c82dbacked Oilers | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…b138backed Oilers | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…bac9backed Oilers | 73c | 13.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. OilersOilers won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-2.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.