NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11afb4446b8b71b5bb8b4def888b50509b533d5b3718bde751ca5bc3246b9135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canucks | 4c | 3,974$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Canucks | 6c | 2,939$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Canucks | 6c | 2,770$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks | 5c | 1,358$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Canucks | 17c | 950.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 10c | 396.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Canucks | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Canucks | 18c | 190.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Oilers | 69c | 165.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Oilers | 47c | 135.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 64c | 117.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Oilers | 40c | 108.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Canucks | 21c | 107.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Oilers | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Canucks | 22c | 81.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Canucks | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Canucks | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Oilers | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Oilers | 64c | 41.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Oilers | 41c | 38.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Oilers | 39c | 33.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…6ce0backed Oilers | 40c | 32.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oilers | 67c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canucks | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-2.5)this page
- Canucks vs. OilersOilers won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.