MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef3127933fd15469f3cb0733a5b46548d1e2b12f8a564df18a6f315e3244787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 4,986$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.52 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 2,740$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.85 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 2,553$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.26 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 1,268$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.07 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 984.17$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.67 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 587.57$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.63 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 576.25$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 545.46$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 14c | 379.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 287.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 284.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 219.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 195.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 176.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 168.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 144.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 131.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 131.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 127.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 101.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 98.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 96.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 92.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 77.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 75.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 66.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 60.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 60.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 49.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 46.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 44.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 29.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 29.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 27.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…e2b0backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 26.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…01a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 25.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 20.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.