MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2a520fbbc26e2e966f14f4c9e741091cf96b56cedcdeb26b9a58a5229695fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 1,125$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.91 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 666.21$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 649.04$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 643.12$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.82 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 553.55$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 533.55$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 24c | 495$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 494.04$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 468.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 459.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 444.06$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 418.74$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 234.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 205.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 201.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 188.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 176.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 157.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 135.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 128.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 97.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 86.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd787…9eddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 71.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 48.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 47.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 45.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 45.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 44.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 74c | 40.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 37.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b5…9076backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 36.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 31.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 30.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 21.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.