MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x450692910bfcfb385fc5c3139745792f63f8126e044c37d54a32181f5b6df200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over | 51c | 2,798$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.89 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 50c | 1,934$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.86 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 1,913$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.76 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 62c | 1,651$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.36 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 1,539$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 1,527$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.31 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,291$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 51c | 1,096$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.36 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,018$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.16 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 54c | 988.12$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.78 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 847.37$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.15 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 745.49$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 662.57$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.03 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 50c | 638.02$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.87 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 47c | 619.72$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 42c | 549.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 504.01$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.04 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 57c | 461.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 444.4$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.87 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 422.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.01 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 389$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 377.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 359.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 50c | 292.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 291.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 52c | 291.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 261$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 46c | 240.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 218.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 49c | 207.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 203.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Under | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 56c | 179.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 170.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 139.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 124.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 47c | 117.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 43c | 116.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Under | 51c | 106.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed Over | 51c | 105.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 34c | 103.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 47c | 102.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Over | 61c | 101.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 96.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 45c | 75.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 49c | 75.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 60c | 73.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 64.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Over | 48c | 63.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Over | 56c | 62.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 62.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 59c | 59.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 58.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 56.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 51.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Over | 51c | 47.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 47c | 43.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 38.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 55c | 38.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 42c | 37.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 55c | 34.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 57c | 32.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 32.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 46c | 31.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 56c | 31.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 49c | 31.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 53c | 30.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…0111backed Over | 40c | 30.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 49c | 30.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 40c | 29.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 43c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 61c | 28.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 51c | 27.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…998bbacked Over | 51c | 25.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Under | 55c | 25.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 43c | 24.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 53c | 24.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 53c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 18.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.