Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a65443e0c9b1be78e3e4a99d7637b49b731619a76c2bc86b52faa603418e6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 3,755$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 1,976$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.06 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 1,863$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 944.65$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Under | 20c | 569.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 73c | 535.24$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 10c | 500.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 80c | 417.7$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 39c | 387.83$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 354.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 79c | 296.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 68c | 248.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 71c | 225.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 18c | 167.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 20c | 143.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 80c | 133.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 36c | 132.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 80c | 95.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 33c | 88.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 78.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 79c | 75.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 64c | 73.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…df67backed Over | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 43.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Over | 70c | 34.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 31c | 34.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.