Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e325d0e4b4cf916be6d2a09f37be4054bdcaf35063b3cdab66c4084c39581f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33fa…681bbacked Over | 1c | 2,607$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 16c | 2,364$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.31 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 1,865$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.55 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 1,840$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.14 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 50c | 1,307$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 1,202$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 43c | 1,137$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 1,035$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.76 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 980.18$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 31c | 748$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.38 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 725.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 27c | 712.58$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.22 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 615.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 47c | 564.78$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 57c | 343.06$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 55c | 323.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 7c | 320$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 20c | 299.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 79c | 298.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 252.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 42c | 227.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0bcfbacked Under | 44c | 220.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 57c | 194.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…6052backed Under | 44c | 193.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 57c | 188.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 58c | 175$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 58c | 168.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…df67backed Over | 48c | 141.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 58c | 124.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Over | 17c | 124.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 120.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 27c | 119.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 17c | 118.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 44c | 115.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 16c | 110.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 57c | 103.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 67c | 99.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 94.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 76c | 86.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 58c | 75.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 74.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3173backed Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Under | 79c | 67.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 54c | 61.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Under | 42c | 56.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Under | 44c | 55.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 73c | 54.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 57c | 51.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Over | 56c | 50.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 74c | 35.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…62e4backed Under | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…5ed2backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…9b4abacked Under | 52c | 33.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 41c | 31.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 28.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Under | 49c | 23.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 58c | 22.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 77c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Over | 59c | 21.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 65c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 73c | 18.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 73c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 60c | 17.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.