TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4947…d93abacked Under0c12,855$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…3fcbbacked Under0c9,651$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under48c6,907$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.273863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over58c6,287$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.7310650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over59c5,713$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.937546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under41c4,985$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.676659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c3,817$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.7468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under44c3,673$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.966839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over56c3,105$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.834146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c3,012$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.9332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under43c2,855$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.6924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under43c2,334$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c2,276$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over59c2,205$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.6114651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c2,128$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.9141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Over58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under14c1,439$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.528354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over57c1,290$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under56c1,249$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.023948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over47c1,211$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.113450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c1,185$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.5696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62de…39fbbacked Under45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked Under44c1,010$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over43c984.83$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.066328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe327…bc97backed Under50c970.94$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under45c913.27$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.972857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c906.54$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.441,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under42c853.48$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d56…d8febacked Over57c730.29$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c694.35$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.688757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under53c680.26$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c669.2$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over52c660.36$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c598$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.124748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over59c578.63$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.244231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over55c543.11$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.49054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over35c480.5$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.335518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c415.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under42c414.44$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Over58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under22c332.37$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7714936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c332.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8919154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c299.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Over49c299.03$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.511346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over55c282.17$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.982055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over59c276.09$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.23148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked Over57c273.88$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over56c268.01$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over55c262$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over56c248.35$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2817354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c245$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4265254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under42c239.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c234.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over56c226.75$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7713445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c223.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7615244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Under44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c174.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.594365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under66c166.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.983435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.785242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c149.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under42c144.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.632941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over58c136.62$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.382839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c132.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7715459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under43c130.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0611666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under31c124.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over57c116.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.291747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.791435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c104.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c98.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.949257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over41c94.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.524551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over55c92.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under43c91.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.332040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under43c89.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.633737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2510358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.253759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Over59c82.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over54c81.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x713e…2d09backed Under44c80.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over55c79.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.982763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over50c73.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5630828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over33c71.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.235556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over55c68.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6511255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.