TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8479…40dfbacked Under53c14,845$7,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,977.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c11,674$5,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,486.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over49c5,146$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over63c5,116$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.1993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under32c4,503$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.7517553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad42…d738backed Under51c4,412$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c4,293$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.6382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over50c4,013$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.921653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c3,802$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under17c2,899$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.3618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c2,842$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.391,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under52c2,800$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34427246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over47c2,196$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.0616946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under28c2,190$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.3320744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under46c2,033$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.7421142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under35c1,995$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.666023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c1,969$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over75c1,684$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.4231345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Under55c1,606$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.255352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over47c1,426$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.911242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over47c1,272$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7614052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under16c1,152$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.464841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c1,140$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.71,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under41c1,131$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3718842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c1,127$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.181,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c1,055$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.373,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c999.97$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under48c983.93$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0411153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c981.07$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.051,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c980.13$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over50c978.63$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over70c910.68$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under53c880.12$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6616555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under21c841.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.4552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c750.15$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under49c719.35$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c663.62$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.652,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c597.71$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over61c555.06$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under52c509.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under44c469.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9426450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over47c460.41$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3918850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c459.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under56c442.6$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.221573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over19c436.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over65c417.23$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.141,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Over46c408.06$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.072138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c396.36$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.181,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over61c377.83$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4829458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Over4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Over4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.35637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Over58c369.45$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.282646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under50c369.01$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7128838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under17c368.9$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1926233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Over15c353.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.927237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over52c343.33$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8222349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over13c334$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7753945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under47c309.1$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.879642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over51c304.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.38851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over20c303$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Under65c301.95$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1713342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over52c301.34$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.712257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Under49c297.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.065944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under39c296.69$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.981,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under34c286.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Under51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8818839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under45c283.66$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8127553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under39c259.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.94037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over24c256$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5431238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c248.38$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.093,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over13c234.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3626639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over47c229.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.991,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over18c228.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8340440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over53c220.92$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.62065%13 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12211347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under52c199.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9859650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Under17c193.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.372347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under15c190.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.065056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2514549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Under51c188.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.278354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe45…a3e9backed Under52c187.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.574146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb6…8fdebacked Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.653060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under28c185.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.421,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5c…41f3backed Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c180.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under13c180.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1521640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under49c176.08$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.816743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under51c160.15$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4742853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over11c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.613837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.