MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0903927ea9aaf9917afcce4ff796f643d3e9fb273078fade0769e91d127c4235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 83,969$41,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,545.24 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 23,274$11,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,404.22 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 16,976$10,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.25 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 16,144$10,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,912.98 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 11,640$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 10,944$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 9,769$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 8,340$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.86 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 6,519$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 5,612$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.03 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…93ddbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 5,106$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,043$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.3 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 4,600$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.87 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 4,563$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.87 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 3,881$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 3,457$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.04 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 3,155$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.15 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 2,925$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 2,408$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.87 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,300$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 2,140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,113$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.27 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,997$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.45 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 1,908$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.87 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 1,767$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.21 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,763$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.73 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 1,756$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,742$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.41 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,564$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.18 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,508$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,240$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 1,233$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,224$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.58 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,200$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.89 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,082$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.99 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,038$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 878.08$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 797.4$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 734.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 687.09$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 673.18$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.59 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 626.23$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 614.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.45 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 590.07$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.19 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 552.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 525.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 521.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…9e45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 514.47$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 502$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 476.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 471.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 459.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 458.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 458.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 446.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 410.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4800…96c1backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 397.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 396.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…872bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…d374backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2e…49d0backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 378.72$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 357.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 344.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 335.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 334.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…8444backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 298$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 276.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 276.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 264.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 262.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 246.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 244.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 235.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 232.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 230.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 229.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 217.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 215.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.