MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b33676ada58620f4c86f8fcbadae2f6361706a9472f8b4c0290590d524fe0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 91,444$44,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,807.5 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 78,833$40,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,628.22 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 60,702$30,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,351.08 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 48,500$24,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,250 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 18,609$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.82 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 15,225$7,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,764.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 12,151$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.32 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 11,430$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 10,767$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.88 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 10,099$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 9,214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 7,531$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.06 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 5,879$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 5,851$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.24 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 4,614$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,410$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.52 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,998$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.45 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 3,644$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,894$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,640$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.62 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,515$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.79 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 2,302$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 2,249$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,222$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.19 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 2,093$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…75fbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,998$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.16 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,912$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,830$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,795$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.28 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,634$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.42 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,576$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.14 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 1,413$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,047$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.92 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,033$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.17 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,013$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.08 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 872.59$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 821.06$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 818.68$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.34 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 814.81$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.55 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 776.22$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.11 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 676.09$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 652$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 588.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 561.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 540$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 537.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…f527backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 526.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.54 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 507.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 480.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 473$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 461.72$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 456.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 439.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 429.45$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 402.55$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 389.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 389.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 362.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.11 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 361.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 341.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 327.7$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 327$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 316.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 308.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 308.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 308.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 303.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 274.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 247.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 247.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 246$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 216.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 212.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 210.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 183.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 176.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 175.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 164.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 161.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…b8fdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 160.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 452 | 51.3%232 W · 220 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 140.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 137.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 131.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 124.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-7.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-8.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 14.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 16.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.