World Politics · resolved market
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf39eebb69c448a73d90cd9ae741cf7de04156c9a127b99babb25fe77234df91e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,676 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 6c | 37,126$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…878dbacked No | 8c | 4,339$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…f31cbacked No | 8c | 4,154$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…21ffbacked No | 8c | 3,992$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3f…c097backed No | 8c | 3,776$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…8c29backed No | 8c | 3,696$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +531.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…b833backed No | 8c | 3,585$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…cab2backed No | 8c | 3,532$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…1199backed No | 7c | 3,365$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…de15backed No | 8c | 3,202$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…1567backed Yes | 80c | 3,202$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 13c | 3,169$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.87 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…74f8backed No | 8c | 3,141$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…a454backed No | 7c | 3,138$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…27dbbacked No | 8c | 3,128$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…7774backed No | 7c | 2,890$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…cfdebacked No | 5c | 2,812$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf994…7b4cbacked No | 8c | 2,785$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bf…6a05backed No | 7c | 2,777$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…a53cbacked No | 7c | 2,651$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc361…1627backed No | 8c | 2,552$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…17bcbacked No | 8c | 2,520$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f67…52e7backed No | 9c | 2,514$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa809…f7e9backed No | 7c | 2,507$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…ca5cbacked No | 6c | 2,385$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…3483backed No | 7c | 2,358$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…ad21backed No | 7c | 2,278$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…bba6backed No | 8c | 2,222$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcb…c68bbacked No | 8c | 2,215$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…98bdbacked No | 6c | 2,201$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…6aa9backed No | 8c | 2,178$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…b622backed No | 5c | 2,140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…fdfcbacked No | 8c | 2,104$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7958…8c65backed No | 4c | 2,090$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…569cbacked No | 7c | 2,012$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…6e23backed No | 6c | 1,927$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…3b63backed No | 8c | 1,891$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…cacbbacked No | 8c | 1,821$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…ba67backed No | 8c | 1,785$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…e97dbacked No | 8c | 1,774$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…1871backed No | 5c | 1,766$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…9c4dbacked No | 5c | 1,715$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…6857backed No | 8c | 1,714$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…8403backed No | 6c | 1,713$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…5d13backed No | 5c | 1,712$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…1fa1backed No | 7c | 1,708$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…45c4backed No | 8c | 1,698$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa456…ca24backed No | 6c | 1,655$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…50bfbacked No | 8c | 1,636$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +713%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…d25cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,620$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4632…8f1bbacked No | 4c | 1,596$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…f85bbacked No | 5c | 1,565$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…ce23backed No | 8c | 1,555$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,119.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea4…035ebacked No | 5c | 1,534$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…da4cbacked No | 8c | 1,509$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…9445backed No | 7c | 1,475$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…d593backed No | 5c | 1,470$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…03b5backed No | 8c | 1,463$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…65fdbacked No | 1c | 1,452$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…7769backed No | 8c | 1,430$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…2176backed No | 8c | 1,362$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdb…dd36backed No | 8c | 1,355$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…a9d9backed No | 8c | 1,339$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…4619backed No | 6c | 1,322$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5b…717abacked No | 8c | 1,317$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…99b2backed No | 4c | 1,307$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…53ebbacked No | 6c | 1,261$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…1072backed No | 4c | 1,240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…0ffbbacked No | 8c | 1,234$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007d…97b9backed No | 5c | 1,234$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…33b1backed No | 8c | 1,217$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…4354backed No | 7c | 1,154$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…840fbacked No | 7c | 1,144$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…bfb9backed No | 8c | 1,144$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…dee9backed No | 8c | 1,129$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…a73ebacked No | 8c | 1,123$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…3fdfbacked No | 7c | 1,109$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1e…d1acbacked No | 5c | 1,108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…e279backed No | 5c | 1,099$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…e516backed No | 8c | 1,096$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…4faebacked No | 6c | 1,089$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde20…a405backed No | 8c | 1,087$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b72…244cbacked No | 5c | 1,074$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…4e54backed No | 5c | 1,029$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…a3d0backed No | 7c | 1,028$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…eb28backed No | 8c | 1,006$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4640…57d4backed No | 8c | 1,003$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5d…a7f9backed No | 4c | 985$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked No | 8c | 982.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc914…3da8backed No | 8c | 957$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…ba1cbacked No | 8c | 947$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…7acbbacked No | 5c | 909$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…0306backed No | 8c | 908$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…755dbacked No | 8c | 904$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…57febacked No | 8c | 903$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…6b2fbacked No | 7c | 900$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…d08fbacked No | 6c | 889$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1906…ae3abacked No | 8c | 879$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…6160backed No | 6c | 841$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?this page
- Will Alfredo Solares win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
- Will Angélica Sosa win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
- Will Félix Oros win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
- Will Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
- Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
- Will José Gary Áñez win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
- Will Oscar Vargas win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
- Will Soo Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.