TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes12c10,644$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.3122927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd47e…ef51backed Yes30c9,706$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa304…b075backed Yes17c6,101$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes23c4,829$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.043013.3%4 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes12c4,547$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527417.3%3 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes21c3,168$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.157723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes22c2,905$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes21c2,340$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.951338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No79c1,756$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7316334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7a…9fffbacked Yes23c1,688$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes3c1,620$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.424526.7%12 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+191.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ab…edc1backed Yes27c1,603$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes12c1,463$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…8354backed Yes3c1,426$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes7c1,326$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.093644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes24c1,255$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.263243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes24c1,241$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1710235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes22c1,219$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.069335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Yes5c1,085$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-61.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes21c1,002$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.56253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204012.5%5 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes9c984.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.067121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3719…bd84backed Yes34c959$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…588ebacked No66c959$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes22c947.93$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6219939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa440…a487backed Yes20c934.83$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.93935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No63c892.91$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.577145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecb…b5e3backed No73c815$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+66.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c789.58$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.555944.1%26 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…9416backed No73c788$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick56cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Yes7c782.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.383135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23d…da1fbacked Yes8c702.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes27c700$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-74.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes23c668.49$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.684831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes16c666.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.313221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+187.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes12c663.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.096544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd2…48e6backed Yes29c642.82$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe709…9d39backed Yes7c614.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.581323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes26c602.63$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9514835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes6c590.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.73327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes4c575.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.121478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked No71c561.12$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.76988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fe…a7a5backed Yes25c536.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.02156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1620…f529backed Yes10c518.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed Yes4c518$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.442733.3%9 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2df5…dd1cbacked Yes21c510.77$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…2a28backed Yes17c469.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90a…14cfbacked Yes23c468.72$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes18c455.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.736926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b27…4c31backed No73c440$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…b6d4backed Yes27c440$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes15c427.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.054626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No75c414$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.374654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes25c414$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.694339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes4c399.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.590%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes4c374.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes22c370.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.884924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+134.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186c…11cebacked Yes19c370$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.781931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes24c362.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.958923.6%21 W · 68 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9921…1c14backed No77c343$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No72c323.52$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.676451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes25c299.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick17cpaid+62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes24c299.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e33…22febacked Yes15c280.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.231323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes22c279.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.577740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No76c260$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.34348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.254042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…c524backed Yes24c257.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.853053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb080…6531backed Yes18c254.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad19…3724backed Yes10c254$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes26c244.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes13c240.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No69c223.74$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.134751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ce…cd2fbacked Yes22c219.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes22c208.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.831625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed Yes14c204.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.594835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…287dbacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423560%21 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+213.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes6c192.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.531225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes17c187.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.355251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd04…15ffbacked Yes26c180.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-72.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes26c179.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.137549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcad6…3a55backed Yes42c175.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7470%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6f…b20fbacked Yes30c165.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes26c163.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.12343.5%10 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick22cpaid+123.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes26c155$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.35825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes25c140.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.25633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No66c123.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.281968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4652…71e2backed Yes8c121.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad62…2aa9backed No77c120$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55cb…10d9backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3c…4169backed Yes25c117.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73540%14 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.