TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,420 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb886…81b3backed Yes1c13,192$85 inLost-$84.6214315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c7,402$45 inLost-$45.341478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes1c4,588$31 inLost-$30.54526.7%12 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+191.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes1c4,000$30 inLost-$29.71277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+296.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes1c2,978$23 inLost-$23.31214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c2,214$19 inLost-$18.615111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked Yes1c2,211$16 inLost-$16.244131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes1c2,102$19 inLost-$19.038342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes1c1,902$10 inLost-$10.04462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes1c1,687$16 inLost-$16.384318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe787…dc90backed Yes1c1,624$14 inLost-$14.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf221…8b16backed Yes1c1,571$12 inLost-$1260%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,374$11 inLost-$11.13583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+202.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9f…8772backed Yes1c1,100$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edf…19debacked Yes2c1,087$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb3…13e6backed Yes2c1,043$25 inLost-$25.12520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-65.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes1c899.98$11 inLost-$10.8150%0 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes2c887$16 inLost-$15.594626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes3c637.93$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.