TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c22,735$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,631.2314315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x413b…eeb3backed Yes42c21,474$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,474.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b50…3bd1backed No0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa277…ea05backed No0c10,806$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick8cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9100…7627backed No1c10,305$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14dc…3933backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa440…a487backed Yes5c7,374$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,003.543935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes5c7,245$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,900.39333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6979…c2a3backed Yes7c7,217$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,706.751050%5 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+356.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb89…05b1backed Yes1c6,743$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,681.481100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+10,913%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee86…4434backed Yes17c6,661$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+504.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed No40c3,726$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.661947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No56c2,591$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.292152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No22c2,100$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.625131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547d…a1b8backed Yes1c1,715$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.281100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+12,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked No27c1,700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc319…0e0cbacked No27c1,700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,659$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.24583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+202.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…d4a2backed Yes1c1,639$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.531100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+14,185.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Yes60c1,628$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.573135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No73c1,469$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.123357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No42c1,430$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…5408backed Yes4c1,400$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+4,269.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4804…db1cbacked Yes1c1,250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+12,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes1c1,249$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.113221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+187.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes49c1,231$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.110235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No48c1,002$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.928737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No63c973.52$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.651963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1f…5868backed No13c900$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes8c888.27$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.773327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Yes7c869.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.181650%8 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+168%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No79c788$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No56c774.07$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.033158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586b…646cbacked Yes8c700$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,198.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No67c685.16$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2210529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes54c672.96$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.44129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…2112backed Yes78c637.02$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.212295.5%21 W · 1 L+6.9wins+0.31per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes5c506$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.441513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+747.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…f66fbacked No12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+89.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2257723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5673…4926backed No7c499$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed No36c482.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.992040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes44c476.24$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.374626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e33…22febacked Yes52c344.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes6c323.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+112.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes79c300.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45b7…2ddcbacked Yes8c264.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick27cpaid+321.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes9c257.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.61127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+124.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No57c237$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.056043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…78c9backed Yes44c229.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No6c227.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-78.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eec…c999backed No9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes27c185.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.425349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5f62backed No8c160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No50c146.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4460%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dc1…b0bfbacked Yes78c145.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed No12c132.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x015f…97b7backed No46c130.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No61c125.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7722927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes71c115$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4821…6ab1backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441520%3 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No13c91.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.982347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No54c76.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.888128.4%23 W · 58 L-10.7wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcebe…0720backed No50c69.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No53c65.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Yes57c62.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.912147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9e…c96bbacked No40c59.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3c…4169backed Yes72c55.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.583540%14 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…0b39backed No43c51.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcca3…4e45backed Yes40c50.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.121442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked No49c49.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a8…6e3ebacked Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fe…6800backed No74c40.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce1…77dbbacked No42c31.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.968342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb2…7275backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+121.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed No49c29.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfc…678ebacked No49c29.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…c524backed Yes79c26.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.653053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No51c25.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.987121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf35c…cbdbbacked Yes59c25.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No61c22.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes72c13.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.941040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.