Music · resolved market
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f5aa4dee43a4c180af84859cbc88e7b0622bac0a5f03a536c1528efab72f51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 14,821$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 2c | 4,840$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 3,339$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,896$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,778$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 2c | 2,712$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 1c | 2,565$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Yes | 1c | 2,396$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…fcbbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,331$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,208$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 1c | 2,108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…45c4backed Yes | 3c | 2,048$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfd…ce2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,759$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…17d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…b1a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,630$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5a…1058backed Yes | 3c | 1,590$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9988…ce93backed Yes | 3c | 1,552$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…3b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,536$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…e64fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,428$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…cf2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,351$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…fb71backed Yes | 3c | 1,350$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…1d2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,332$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…1016backed Yes | 3c | 1,322$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348e…5196backed Yes | 3c | 1,311$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…7837backed Yes | 3c | 1,307$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4200…930ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,275$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…9f2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,270$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 3c | 1,249$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…b506backed Yes | 3c | 1,242$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…4bd8backed Yes | 3c | 1,217$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,198$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…c3c8backed Yes | 3c | 1,153$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7548…b919backed Yes | 3c | 1,043$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 1c | 1,004$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 2c | 978.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…cc0ebacked Yes | 1c | 960$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…0392backed Yes | 1c | 940$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…2710backed Yes | 3c | 888$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…e889backed Yes | 3c | 878$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…4f1dbacked Yes | 4c | 815$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…b29dbacked Yes | 3c | 779$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…433ebacked Yes | 3c | 733$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…0072backed Yes | 4c | 719$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…1d31backed Yes | 3c | 672$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde38…86e9backed Yes | 3c | 660$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…5e35backed Yes | 3c | 566$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 555$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…c6f9backed Yes | 3c | 538$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…22a1backed Yes | 3c | 525$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 2c | 509.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…cc46backed Yes | 3c | 497$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…0574backed Yes | 3c | 495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…2e25backed Yes | 3c | 431$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…9676backed Yes | 3c | 384$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…8669backed Yes | 3c | 353$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…22febacked Yes | 21c | 243.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?this page
- Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will San Marino be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
- Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.