TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Over57c14,737$8,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.4956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46f…4ad4backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.971656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under18c5,995$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.313,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under4c3,424$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3510239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Under47c2,409$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.959440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under9c2,024$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c1,831$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under48c1,103$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4410252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,103$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under46c1,002$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.8379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c970.38$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c950.39$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.691,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under46c779.37$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over53c750.15$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c679.7$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.592,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over54c639.24$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c549.88$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.61,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under48c402.2$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c369.63$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c362.76$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8c…2f40backed Under49c334.94$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88b…976cbacked Under49c332.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…982fbacked Under48c305.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over67c298.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.662,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under19c292.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…bb28backed Over53c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Under50c290$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under20c237.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.251,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c230.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.681,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over48c215.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c203.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c200.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under41c192.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under52c188.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.113148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over67c187.77$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.971,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c181.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over50c178.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2424849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over54c175.44$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c173.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.351,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c164.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under47c148.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under53c146.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7414444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over51c134.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1313153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over51c134.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over53c118.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over48c111$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7217740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under48c105.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5319348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under41c101.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Over67c98.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.353948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under39c95.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.251,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8910523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c71…3414backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.093342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over49c81.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5614946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Over49c81.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under47c81.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.291,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c79.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c77.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under49c64.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over47c63.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.527245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Under48c59.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.486734.3%23 W · 44 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over51c42.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9837853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6c…be63backed Over53c42.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under50c41.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.867648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over54c41.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.839655.2%53 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.421952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.414253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over53c26.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+75.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under48c26.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5914355.2%79 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under48c26.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5921843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c25.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over67c19.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.477572%54 W · 21 L+11.7wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1338048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.