TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61db…90cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.84
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$34.38
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.18
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.3
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.42
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$68.42
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.39
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$34.43
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.65
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$54.77
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.78
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$33.85
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.56
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$52.85
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+267.3%+$32.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.79
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$60.98
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.74
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$63.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+67.6%+$18.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58%+$14.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+173.8%+$45.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.85
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.37
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$45.54
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$57.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+161%+$151.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+82%+$67.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$57.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$13.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.72
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.