NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed65ceb839f982f520d3ad833d8409e86d6c1f2b87775a73f6b67d364f72963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf46d…aae7backed Nets | 0c | 18,613$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nets | 35c | 4,281$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.29 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets | 69c | 4,274$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.22 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Hornets | 65c | 3,012$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.31 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4e5abacked Nets | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nets | 30c | 2,398$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.43 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 65c | 1,426$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 35c | 1,155$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…541abacked Hornets | 60c | 1,074$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…5fc0backed Hornets | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Nets | 38c | 975.25$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.68 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…5383backed Hornets | 60c | 878.4$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Hornets | 65c | 753.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Nets | 37c | 696.95$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Nets | 39c | 693.32$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nets | 30c | 679.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Nets | 32c | 603.68$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Hornets | 62c | 582.65$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets | 64c | 485.94$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 65c | 390.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Nets | 32c | 352.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Hornets | 65c | 301.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Nets | 34c | 274.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Nets | 27c | 271.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nets | 15c | 266.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Nets | 37c | 258.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Hornets | 63c | 244.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 28c | 219.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nets | 17c | 200.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Hornets | 66c | 198.58$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Nets | 36c | 181.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Hornets | 62c | 164.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 37c | 160.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…ca51backed Hornets | 69c | 152$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Nets | 38c | 151.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 40c | 149$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Hornets | 65c | 135.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets | 31c | 128.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Nets | 37c | 110.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Hornets | 65c | 105.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Hornets | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Hornets | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Nets | 36c | 81.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Hornets | 61c | 80.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Nets | 31c | 77.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 30c | 76.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Nets | 37c | 69.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nets | 35c | 55.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Hornets | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Nets | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Nets | 39c | 49.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Hornets | 61c | 48.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nets | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Hornets | 74c | 46.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Hornets | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Hornets | 63c | 40.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed Hornets | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Hornets | 63c | 39.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Nets | 40c | 36.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 63c | 33.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…b93bbacked Nets | 39c | 30.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Hornets | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Hornets | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61db…90cdbacked Hornets | 60c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Hornets | 62c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets | 68c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. NetsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-19.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-22.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-24.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-25.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.