TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf46d…aae7backed Nets0c19,800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daa…c9dabacked Hornets65c16,742$10,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,890.892060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets40c11,925$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets33c9,551$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.442,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00011457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets44c6,608$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets42c6,424$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets54c6,393$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.981,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets23c6,089$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Hornets53c5,621$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.239556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets73c5,491$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.4342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Nets47c4,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets42c3,536$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nets41c3,027$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.021,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nets25c3,023$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.6310239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets40c2,805$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.181,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Hornets58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2120843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Hornets60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nets31c1,644$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.7289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Hornets53c1,496$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7420846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nets26c1,100$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.451,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets41c938$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Hornets60c838.45$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.7520638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hornets58c732$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0421350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets54c655.93$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Nets47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Hornets72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5643269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hornets54c538.33$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6340947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nets42c536.01$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets60c525$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Hornets60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets29c487.11$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.223,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Nets23c449.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.541,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nets46c446.93$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hornets56c435$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hornets62c429.16$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Hornets72c419.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.016162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets62c410.28$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.351,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Nets42c404$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6845151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Nets42c403.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Hornets54c398.35$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3524856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets45c386.08$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Hornets62c349.8$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2313349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Nets37c333.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.62532%8 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Nets41c332.5$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.332740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Nets40c327.56$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.021,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…5115backed Nets43c325.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Hornets54c324.05$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0626149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Hornets58c319.75$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets43c319.68$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Hornets53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14144345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nets41c281.02$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Nets44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Nets38c204.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.39345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Hornets60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8023546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Nets44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8828852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Hornets60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Nets44c198.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hornets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Nets40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Nets43c187$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4119348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Nets38c186.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0221546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Nets38c185.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0217041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Nets38c185.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.027545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Nets38c185.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.027542.7%32 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Nets40c180.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.041,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Nets45c175.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1618052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Hornets57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4428046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets64c173.68$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.811,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95d3…b2aebacked Nets46c173.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…7f2cbacked Hornets60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nets24c164.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Nets37c161.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.689735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hornets63c159.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Nets45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6753339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Hornets52c139.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Hornets55c139.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6662539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nets47c136.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Hornets60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6756154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Nets42c113.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.541,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Nets44c109.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Hornets60c100.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3462047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Nets46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Nets42c98.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1913346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Nets28c98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nets14c95.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Nets43c95.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9313052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Nets48c94.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nets28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Hornets60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7f…7e25backed Nets40c81.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.481421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-65.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc80…77b4backed Nets45c77.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Hornets62c77.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6616046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Hornets60c77.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5822148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hornets70c74.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Nets47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355520%11 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ddb…513dbacked Nets41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.75846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Nets44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.