TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c10,005$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,112.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c6,678$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under55c3,849$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over55c2,995$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.1812251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c2,217$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.832,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under50c2,182$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.8610860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4353,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c1,076$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c1,062$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c1,033$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c978.16$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.461,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c936.56$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.081,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over49c856.6$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c850$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.021,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over31c767.77$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.211,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over44c764.64$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c670$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under45c662.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.8927746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under49c660.75$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over48c611.23$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over51c530.89$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1842348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c529.31$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under45c508.38$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under55c490.36$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over51c471.2$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c461.05$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c460.73$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over51c449.22$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8313349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over20c443.22$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5110239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over51c443.18$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.175048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c433$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.162,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under50c430$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2158646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over51c372.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2514243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over54c346$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over48c333.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c284.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c251.8$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over51c219.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3320552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under46c199.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9828852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over51c194.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under45c187.51$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under50c177.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c174.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under45c173.59$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4817643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c165.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c154.57$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Over55c154.38$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.916851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over54c150.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c139.26$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.591,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Over54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under73c136.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.079137.4%34 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c134.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c133.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.624,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c132.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.342,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under45c126.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c124.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.842,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Over47c121.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5724139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over52c118.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1316046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over36c115.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6924044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over28c106$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over52c100.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4313541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over28c92.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.976825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509742.3%41 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Over52c85.19$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c83.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.041,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c81.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Over42c79.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.353721.6%8 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under50c78.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4721843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over55c72.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.141556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over55c68.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.939646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over48c67.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.329556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c65.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.836150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Over51c62.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.114560%27 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over41c61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0149247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over37c60.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over36c57.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.575250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under47c54.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.926450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under53c52.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over37c52.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.555463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over49c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2346940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e09…7dacbacked Over56c51.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under46c50.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c49.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x044d…e6f7backed Over56c48.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712256.6%69 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3832752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over48c46.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3620638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.