TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf46d…aae7backed Nets0c19,800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Hornets54c2,788$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.3820843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Nets49c2,186$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.314355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Nets46c1,976$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.7425641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Hornets57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3959140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets44c1,445$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets53c1,413$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Hornets53c1,240$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.7614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets48c1,079$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets43c975.43$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.4354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets52c927.72$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Nets48c860.38$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets76c790.84$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Hornets49c779.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.7312542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Hornets52c768.92$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.167951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Nets47c711.34$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.332133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nets51c701.44$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Nets16c631.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.921,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nets24c433.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.21,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets53c425$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7520650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Nets47c403.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.945151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Hornets53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18821653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Nets49c333$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.173040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Nets46c326$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Nets45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nets43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Hornets53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14116651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Hornets52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7724849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets49c218.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.083,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Nets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Hornets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hornets51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Hornets54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1965649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets35c169.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.263,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Nets47c162.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets48c155.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Nets14c154.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets48c125.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Nets47c117.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7455347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Hornets71c104.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.417547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hornets78c90.95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets48c88.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.652,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets78c88.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Nets47c87.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9313052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Hornets78c86.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets78c85.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Nets46c79.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.981,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets43c79.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.391,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Nets52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nets29c68.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Nets46c64.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Hornets53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Hornets51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3932148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Nets46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…68fbbacked Hornets56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f1…178abacked Hornets56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Nets50c51.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8753339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Nets46c51.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hornets50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hornets55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Hornets51c47.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Hornets74c46.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets51c45.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.271,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Nets50c42.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1660945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Hornets78c41.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0714640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hornets51c41.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.281,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca50…2ff6backed Nets48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d9…65d0backed Hornets53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac1…1cbbbacked Hornets56c35.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.897251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nets33c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Nets46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Hornets54c32.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Nets47c31.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Hornets53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.187950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets75c27.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.081,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Nets49c27.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2113038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6b…0ce9backed Hornets49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.77450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5670…4b03backed Hornets49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0cabacked Hornets49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d6e…22d8backed Hornets49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b8f…be25backed Hornets49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Hornets56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7956454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b4…b83abacked Nets51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed3…dd02backed Nets51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…c70fbacked Nets51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa41…d103backed Nets51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Nets45c25.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x891c…b733backed Nets51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d46…1428backed Nets51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Hornets47c24.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb659…48e5backed Hornets49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Hornets56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.436654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Nets50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Nets50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Nets51c19.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets56c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.