NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d771af64ae088d7fb56c41b0a80a772ce436ee06c4de57523acf3c4b39d488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets | 49c | 30,110$14,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,753.81 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hornets | 51c | 26,807$13,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,135.43 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Nets | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.98 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46d…aae7backed Nets | 0c | 18,613$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Hornets | 52c | 13,870$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Nets | 51c | 13,830$7,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,011.71 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hornets | 52c | 13,597$7,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.46 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nets | 48c | 12,296$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nets | 51c | 7,983$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.19 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 48c | 6,578$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Hornets | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nets | 48c | 5,693$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.73 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets | 49c | 4,791$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.84 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Hornets | 52c | 3,399$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.62 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 49c | 2,553$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,957$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.34 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Hornets | 54c | 1,221$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.59 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 58c | 1,138$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nets | 49c | 1,112$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.12 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nets | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nets | 9c | 885.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nets | 48c | 756.73$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.81 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nets | 53c | 734.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.7 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nets | 27c | 682.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Nets | 52c | 654.59$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.39 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Hornets | 49c | 608.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.31 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Hornets | 53c | 596.05$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Hornets | 48c | 592.36$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.03 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hornets | 52c | 556.51$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hornets | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hornets | 52c | 485.53$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.21 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Hornets | 51c | 484.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Hornets | 51c | 461.22$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets | 53c | 458.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.63 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Hornets | 72c | 456.29$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Hornets | 49c | 428.87$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Nets | 29c | 402.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Hornets | 51c | 392.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Nets | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets | 52c | 359.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hornets | 50c | 350$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hornets | 51c | 349.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Hornets | 49c | 315.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Hornets | 52c | 309.7$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Hornets | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Hornets | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Hornets | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets | 67c | 261.7$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 54c | 233.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets | 71c | 227.54$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Hornets | 55c | 219.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Hornets | 52c | 216.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Nets | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Hornets | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Nets | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nets | 46c | 196.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Hornets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Hornets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nets | 52c | 186.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Nets | 48c | 185.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Nets | 46c | 183$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Nets | 49c | 180.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hornets | 63c | 155.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets | 51c | 136.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Hornets | 50c | 118.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nets | 14c | 115.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Hornets | 49c | 114.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Nets | 52c | 105.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Hornets | 79c | 103.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 37c | 101.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Hornets | 74c | 98.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Nets | 49c | 98.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Hornets | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Hornets | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nets | 40c | 81.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Hornets | 48c | 79.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nets | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Hornets | 67c | 78.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…07e7backed Nets | 36c | 69.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Hornets | 52c | 65.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nets | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Hornets | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Nets | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Nets | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…839ebacked Hornets | 53c | 42.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5b0fbacked Nets | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…6d2bbacked Hornets | 52c | 37.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Hornets | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Hornets | 52c | 36.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Nets | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Nets | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…f1c6backed Hornets | 49c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Coby White: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. NetsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-19.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-22.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-24.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-25.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.