TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Under52c31,702$16,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,273.4619754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c29,939$14,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,969.331,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c22,873$11,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,436.2832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under52c9,931$5,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,766.8716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c8,310$4,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.841,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c7,644$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c5,289$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.551,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Over48c5,137$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c4,047$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.71,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c3,502$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c3,219$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.2731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Over49c2,495$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.4911235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under51c1,636$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.8558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c1,184$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,100$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.671,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over28c972.82$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.521,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.278859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c910$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45587750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c881.74$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over47c781.04$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0916039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under64c766.63$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4960444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c762.18$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under53c734.6$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c692.33$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f0f…c6e0backed Over48c645.87$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over33c644.8$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.741,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under52c639.45$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c609.36$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over35c596.15$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under52c588.87$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.714269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29110745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over48c554.07$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2617643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c463.54$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c437.56$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c410$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over48c349.17$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c327.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under51c291.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over49c272.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c253.84$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.221,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over48c205.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5919348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8852146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9417246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9465649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9435849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.945639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2414046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9332450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…dd7abacked Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c183.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under53c181.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3221843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c170.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c158.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Under65c149.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9212454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Over49c129.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.56541.5%27 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under62c125.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.926861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c124.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.921,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Under52c117.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.489655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c114.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over48c101.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8311453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under52c100.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0387744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Under52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.621822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick38cpaid+61.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce0d…ca2cbacked Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under52c87.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9616651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Over48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.754843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c76.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Under52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8619849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c71.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over48c70.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9193036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c68.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.062,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0d…c27bbacked Under52c66.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.064658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over48c62.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.076336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c62.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c62.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.462,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0613554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcab7…1ae5backed Under52c56.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Under52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.899153.8%49 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over49c52.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over50c49.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.413948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over36c49.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under51c44.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8832752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over50c43.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.836746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under69c43.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.315663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over37c42.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8424044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over35c41.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5213441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over34c40.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb7…d873backed Under49c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.412245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.397741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over47c38.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9231046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9a…65bfbacked Under52c38.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c37.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.853,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2421952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.