TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c7,444$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.3432653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c4,196$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,919$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.541,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over27c1,141$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.821,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over46c1,100$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51127241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c905.52$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.682,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under49c888.18$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9718345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c852$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c687.05$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c592.47$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over50c542.09$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0525641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c413.26$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under50c394.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5722048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c386.34$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over53c377.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c353.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under50c351.81$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9121843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over51c326.38$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over50c320.89$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over51c215.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c214.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c200.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e63…641cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under62c197.52$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over51c152.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c145.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.262,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c135.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over52c134.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Under49c115.91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.916541.5%27 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c114.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.182,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under55c110.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9111356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5147738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under48c98.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under49c96.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4710955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under49c89.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c89.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.751,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under53c71.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under53c67.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c66.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c64.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c63.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c63.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over51c62.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under53c61.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c60.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c59.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under51c59.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.125048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under51c59.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.037248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c58.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c58.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under53c58.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c57.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Over53c56.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under52c56.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5313349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c55.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c53.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over32c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0424044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over52c50.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over46c47.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x044d…e6f7backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512256.6%69 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8432752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Under49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9111751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under51c39.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9916046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc7…64febacked Under49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307a…aa03backed Over51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e41…9206backed Under49c38.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ed…5c1dbacked Over51c38.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.761,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0771…dd66backed Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b5…abc1backed Over51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc81…4ed1backed Over51c37.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2acc…74f6backed Under49c37.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c36…9bfbbacked Under49c37.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0d…8d45backed Over51c37.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64a…ab0dbacked Under49c37.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…b0a3backed Over51c37.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2777…cbffbacked Under49c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19c…206cbacked Over51c37.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c36.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc50…65fcbacked Over51c36.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee9…49aebacked Under49c36.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.