Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487a991bf3cbf8ac406dd67c48a3242addaf7be26e94707d96f1a679f9362cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,345$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.36 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 34c | 918.75$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 5c | 564$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 34c | 438.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 69c | 416.38$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 404.78$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 391$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 387.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…8e43backed No | 66c | 361.55$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 348.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 325.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 15c | 308.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 85 | 9.4%8 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 305.16$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 304.22$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 25c | 280.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 269.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…ca06backed No | 79c | 251.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 251.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 28c | 247.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 41c | 245.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked No | 49c | 236$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 32c | 231.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 223.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 67c | 212.72$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 8c | 202.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 201$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 25c | 184.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 27c | 181.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 65c | 179.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 46c | 173.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…cecdbacked Yes | 18c | 166.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 77c | 164.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 66c | 162.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 158.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 62c | 155.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed No | 65c | 152.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…8f10backed Yes | 34c | 148.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 40c | 143.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 140.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 48c | 133.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 132.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 36c | 128.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 19c | 125.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 73c | 119.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 42c | 118.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…74b9backed No | 72c | 112.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 59c | 111.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 76c | 111.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 32c | 110.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 11c | 107.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…a457backed Yes | 21c | 107.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…b951backed Yes | 23c | 107$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 60c | 104.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 72c | 104.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 39c | 102.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 76c | 101.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 52c | 100.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 35c | 99.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 79c | 98.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 34c | 96.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 95.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 26c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 85.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 77c | 78.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…2868backed Yes | 23c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 16c | 75.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 75c | 73.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 80c | 71.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 55c | 69.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 68.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 32c | 60.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 60.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed No | 72c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 71c | 56.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…18cbbacked Yes | 37c | 56.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed No | 64c | 52.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 51.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 65c | 51.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…8ecbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…b1bcbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.