Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeac16b66e68a5be12b32464bb937320a1db9139bc0b3ee9118996fb9f7b0b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 1,497$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 2c | 929.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 735.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 711.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 5c | 521.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 458.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 15c | 345.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 10c | 317.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 22c | 290.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 6c | 270$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 5c | 269.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 5c | 266.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 28c | 256.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…2868backed Yes | 14c | 233.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 6c | 233.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 17c | 232.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 8c | 221.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 71c | 208.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 33c | 199.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 11c | 198.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 187.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 172.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 154.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 154.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 7c | 152.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 75c | 149.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 76c | 138.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 9c | 132.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 29c | 120.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 10c | 114.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes | 25c | 113.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 24c | 110.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 24c | 106.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 24c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 72c | 98.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 75c | 94.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 92.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 15c | 90.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 75c | 89.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 83.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 17c | 80.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 30c | 79.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 14c | 78.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 34c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 30c | 68.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 77c | 64.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 75c | 63.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed No | 76c | 60.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 72c | 59.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed No | 68c | 59.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 57.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fe…6286backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 51.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed No | 74c | 49.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 72c | 47.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 32c | 45.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed Yes | 26c | 43.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 40.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…0b4ebacked No | 71c | 34.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd007…8eedbacked No | 69c | 28.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…1352backed No | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…ed5dbacked No | 67c | 24.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 76c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…a381backed No | 69c | 23.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 67c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…ac4abacked No | 72c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 75c | 21.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…91d9backed No | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…4707backed No | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 66c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 69c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…9177backed No | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.