Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bbc56d0840b362ec0c87cd2381dc52df230dc4967e5ef429b1f81f6e4f14787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 73c | 1,299$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 39c | 854.11$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 51c | 768.53$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.35 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 7c | 438.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 28c | 432.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 70c | 410.25$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 325.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 321.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 43c | 320.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 24c | 299.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 293$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 53c | 249.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 223.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 40c | 221.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 67c | 199.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 60c | 195.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 37c | 185.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 38c | 182.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…394dbacked No | 62c | 162.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 32c | 158.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 153.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Yes | 63c | 144.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 56c | 144.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 42c | 130.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 60c | 120.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 44c | 114.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 112.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 59c | 111.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 19c | 108.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 31c | 107.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 57c | 105.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 103.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 102.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed No | 40c | 102.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 44c | 102.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 102.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes | 44c | 101.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 35c | 101.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 100.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 62c | 98.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 59c | 97.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 92.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 31c | 90.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 58c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 87.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 37c | 83.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 51c | 82.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 80.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 47c | 79.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…ca6fbacked Yes | 73c | 75.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Yes | 34c | 73.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…e087backed Yes | 58c | 72.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 39c | 72.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 70c | 66.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 59c | 62.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 59c | 61.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 57c | 60.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 58.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked Yes | 56c | 57.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 42c | 57.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 57.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 39c | 56.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 43c | 56.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 73c | 55.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 31c | 54.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…fbf9backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…03c2backed Yes | 44c | 49.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 48.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…7f2bbacked Yes | 43c | 48.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 45c | 46.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8c64backed No | 59c | 44.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 35c | 43.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 46c | 43.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…cda7backed Yes | 70c | 42.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 29c | 42.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 41c | 41.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed No | 53c | 41.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 41.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed No | 67c | 41.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.