Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x561229a22a353ee9f6167cdf65890cbceff1840d01a4652a29d018a56c4ceb83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 89,419$16,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,579.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 18c | 41,104$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 18c | 35,064$6,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,137.21 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 4,951$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.86 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 74c | 3,697$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.81 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 76c | 3,007$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.06 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,044$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 1,714$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Yes | 13c | 1,302$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1c…b28cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,222$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 23c | 1,147$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed No | 77c | 1,146$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.52 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,113$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…a412backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,045$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 80c | 1,024$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 27c | 987.73$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 16c | 931.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 18c | 923.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…f574backed Yes | 17c | 918.62$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 17c | 852.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 7c | 795.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 17c | 764.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e824backed Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…5e5abacked Yes | 18c | 722.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…f997backed Yes | 21c | 708.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…26e8backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 572.07$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…909cbacked Yes | 25c | 559.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…1815backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Yes | 16c | 544.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes | 18c | 527.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 78c | 522.7$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…dd47backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…21aebacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 18c | 490$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 14c | 427.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…c587backed Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…b882backed Yes | 19c | 387.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 377.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 17c | 376.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7f…3fb8backed Yes | 18c | 360$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 354.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4a…06f0backed Yes | 18c | 353.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 23c | 314.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…faa7backed Yes | 18c | 301.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73d…8f47backed Yes | 20c | 300.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed Yes | 32c | 299.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…9716backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…6276backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…1480backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 19c | 290$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…a7b9backed Yes | 17c | 288.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…a7febacked Yes | 18c | 283.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…6937backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…fd89backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…eb9cbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…39d3backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…c29fbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 14c | 276.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 19c | 267.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…88e2backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 18c | 249.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf11…f6acbacked Yes | 18c | 237.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…8ddfbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.