Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8e08edb9f320035a36d11fa29fdeae7ea674774f98404060e65db016f0db56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 22,832$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,944.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.14 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 5c | 2,776$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.97 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,534$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.66 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.83 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.93 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 1,188$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.88 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 1,137$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.59 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 1,121$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.79 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed No | 14c | 1,087$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…3cc7backed Yes | 7c | 1,040$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…0260backed Yes | 7c | 1,030$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…feb9backed Yes | 7c | 1,020$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…f9e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,020$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9924…363fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,020$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,316.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…03c8backed Yes | 7c | 1,015$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4aa…5773backed Yes | 7c | 999.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…5cf4backed Yes | 7c | 999.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…0633backed Yes | 7c | 986$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e824backed Yes | 5c | 940.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…2ee2backed Yes | 7c | 922$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec4…21a1backed Yes | 7c | 914$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…9763backed Yes | 7c | 880$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…5278backed Yes | 7c | 878$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 8cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b4…880cbacked Yes | 7c | 877.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 6c | 859.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.8 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 6c | 800$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 57c | 795.96$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…8915backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes | 3c | 402.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 339.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…5399backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +96%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 68c | 300.35$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…d6eabacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 69c | 263.96$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…80b9backed Yes | 44c | 238.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 6c | 230.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 10c | 227.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 52c | 227.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 7c | 219.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 5c | 211.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed No | 10c | 201.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 194.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 7c | 182.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 176.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.43 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 33c | 126.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 73c | 123.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes | 9c | 116.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…22b8backed Yes | 50c | 103.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked No | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 54c | 79.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 21c | 65.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed No | 47c | 59.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…5fe6backed Yes | 35c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 50c | 23.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.