Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10154144e9457043176e0af205f2ce2e783a24c42af001dd3f3bb329ea1e1f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 59,216$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 5,914$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.37 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 9c | 2,558$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.26 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 2,435$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,236$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.37 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 8c | 1,668$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes | 9c | 1,080$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…9db2backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 10c | 925$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 8c | 914.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…317cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 10c | 909.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 9c | 830$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 1c | 795.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 733.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…f93ebacked Yes | 10c | 714.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…c587backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…fd89backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 7c | 553.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 532.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 7c | 518.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…f574backed Yes | 10c | 518.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…0ed2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed Yes | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 11c | 499.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…2098backed Yes | 10c | 455.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 8c | 426.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 7c | 349.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 17c | 308.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6280…434abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b25…39b2backed Yes | 9c | 299.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 9c | 270$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…a7febacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…64f3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…4002backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…3f03backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…c0dfbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 9c | 221.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…a7b9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…40c8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 10c | 173.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x244c…0f81backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e5…3c00backed Yes | 9c | 118.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…6c11backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…5567backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…6d5ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…964abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…932bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…3948backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…bcc0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…1548backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…90ebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…cee1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…154cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes | 12c | 93.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 11c | 89.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 77c | 49.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.