Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae03c2b5a3a81dfd46b6b1f83a530a9aa93796b165bbefb233a8860224ce2e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 75,777$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 5,417$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.21 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 8c | 5,231$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 9c | 3,124$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1c…b28cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,601$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 7c | 1,431$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 7c | 1,356$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 5c | 1,078$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…ca73backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 9c | 925.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Yes | 9c | 739.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…9653backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…c585backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…d046backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 9c | 466.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 11c | 463.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 11c | 455.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 361.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8a…e157backed Yes | 9c | 355.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65d…db4ebacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed Yes | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 9c | 281.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 7c | 262.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 5c | 250.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…5567backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cfbabacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…17babacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 13c | 232.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…9ad5backed Yes | 9c | 227.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…40c8backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…f1dcbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…018abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Yes | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…a7b9backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…0744backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…cc88backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 9c | 167.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 8c | 155.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…193fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…4e0cbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…1d81backed Yes | 8c | 119$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…6ae0backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…a949backed Yes | 10c | 103.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 10c | 101.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…90cabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…ea44backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…1f0bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…2516backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…c87cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…d88ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?Yes won
- Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 0 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland?No won
- Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.