Lol · resolved market
Will T1 qualify for EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00161225e24382f0b8f2856f1e9d59a7a5839a9a231b3a33d52dd28ba89205bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d32…5162backed Yes | 63c | 555.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed Yes | 43c | 378.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed No | 60c | 291.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 55c | 162.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed Yes | 46c | 97.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 18c | 92.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…5fa8backed Yes | 47c | 67.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 79c | 67.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed No | 39c | 50.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…18d3backed Yes | 39c | 43.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…5821backed No | 61c | 35.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…00aabacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2a…d857backed No | 49c | 25.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…fe64backed No | 54c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will T1 qualify for EWC 2026?this page
- Will Dplus qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports qualify for EWC 2026?Yes won
- Will KT Rolster qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Nongshim RedForce qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will SOOPers qualify for EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.