TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Dplus qualify for EWC 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Yes40c555$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes40c467.8$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0147047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked No75c338.45$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8116851.2%86 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked No60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3340365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No64c250.25$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.622,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…6e94backed Yes35c172.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes34c170.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0620057%114 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked No67c149.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.831643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked No66c106.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4734565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes43c92.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9118121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed No59c83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.154542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010138.6%39 W · 62 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x464b…4c84backed No64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c5…9953backed No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.793366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55cf…6cd0backed No64c56.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed No65c44.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.73754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes37c36.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.286839.7%27 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No66c29.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x707d…10a0backed Yes48c29.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-63.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba1…65e3backed No77c25.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.95947.5%28 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c2d…7eaabacked No59c25.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.621275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.