Lol · resolved market
Will Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f02841009414bdb1ae583bee915161cfe2121b0c416b8861bb4fc4d44c97e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 74c | 465.65$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed No | 28c | 377.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 54c | 358.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 177.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 72c | 165$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 72c | 161.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…4139backed Yes | 72c | 146.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed No | 36c | 111.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…8e75backed No | 24c | 100.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 43c | 95.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed No | 24c | 94.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…7946backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…c61fbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 62c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…a752backed Yes | 77c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026?this page
- Will Fnatic qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?Yes won
- Will GIANTX qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Galions qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will SK Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Shifters qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Heretics qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality qualify for EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.