Lol · resolved market
Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a23ef40a7a5a2b4b45332de4654f5014be2f0823a2d7e43751d7eafe1c1a5c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 15c | 390.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed No | 15c | 317$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 71c | 284.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…4139backed No | 19c | 215.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed No | 29c | 163.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked No | 15c | 84.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked No | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 73c | 78.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 79c | 52.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed No | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…ff63backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?this page
- Will Fnatic qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will GIANTX qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Galions qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026?Yes won
- Will Natus Vincere qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will SK Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Shifters qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Heretics qualify for EWC 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality qualify for EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.