CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee633091fec2fb8182ff044b2350047c64941449ab9d2ee7467146c4f5dbf25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…6c78backed No | 7c | 2,004$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed No | 7c | 1,790$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 8c | 981.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 386.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 5c | 382.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed No | 14c | 379.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 13c | 375.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked No | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed No | 8c | 232.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed No | 15c | 228.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9258backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Yes | 78c | 193.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed No | 7c | 151.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 107.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed No | 15c | 79.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 58c | 77.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa22…5e49backed No | 35c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed No | 20c | 51.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…5864backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…3c1abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…11f9backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…76cdbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…1df1backed Yes | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.