Lol · resolved market
Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb00c0a2febb661d1a216a8e83b5ac65a4d574ce90eb94a1bfbc3967eb3704ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed No | 55c | 766.09$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.78 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Yes | 36c | 729.7$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.7 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 64c | 537.19$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Yes | 73c | 379.72$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed No | 30c | 340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 7c | 332.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.21 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 231.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 26c | 230$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 32c | 223.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 169.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 45c | 153.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Yes | 50c | 121.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Yes | 53c | 113.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked No | 45c | 98.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 47c | 77.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 66.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 47c | 62.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…c61fbacked Yes | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…db93backed Yes | 77c | 45.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 73c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 46c | 40.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 34.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…196bbacked Yes | 55c | 30.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 67c | 26.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…7472backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…adacbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…810cbacked No | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?this page
- Will Cloud9 win LCS 2026 Spring?No won
- Will FlyQuest win LCS 2026 Spring?No won
- Will Sentinels win LCS 2026 Spring?No won
- Will Team Liquid win LCS 2026 Spring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.