Lol · resolved market
Will Team Liquid win LCS 2026 Spring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47605fddde0e97c8936cb2b0e63526f6ddd43ae5e99cdbe8a947b5bc26681aa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 18c | 756.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Yes | 4c | 392.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked No | 79c | 251.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 169.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 131.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 21c | 114.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 66c | 91.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6197…9977backed Yes | 30c | 78.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes | 18c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed Yes | 25c | 70.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 66c | 60.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked No | 66c | 45.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 71c | 37.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 26.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 73c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Liquid win LCS 2026 Spring?this page
- Will Cloud9 win LCS 2026 Spring?No won
- Will FlyQuest win LCS 2026 Spring?No won
- Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?Yes won
- Will Sentinels win LCS 2026 Spring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.