Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d47590ef594f83ea6142ba3287dd5ce189c2b2e366a23009df1238972ba431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof FlyQuest, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.99 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed FlyQuest | 72c | 18,382$13,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,183.89 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed FlyQuest | 46c | 15,100$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.2 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 9,666$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.22 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked FlyQuest | 72c | 8,076$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.72 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 7,507$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.52 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed FlyQuest | 5c | 6,607$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.09 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 5,000$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.79 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FlyQuest | 70c | 4,862$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.75 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 4,841$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.79 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed FlyQuest | 2c | 4,700$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FlyQuest | 72c | 4,500$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 2,928$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.02 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 2,639$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.91 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 2,499$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked FlyQuest | 62c | 2,436$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.14 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed FlyQuest | 69c | 2,372$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.36 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed FlyQuest | 76c | 2,204$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.72 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 2,100$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.57 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed FlyQuest | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.95 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 1,781$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.69 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,735$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.38 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 1,704$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.96 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 1,689$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.72 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 1,478$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed FlyQuest | 48c | 1,400$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,373$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.53 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked FlyQuest | 43c | 1,300$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 1,262$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.26 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 1,158$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.28 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,082$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.56 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed FlyQuest | 69c | 1,061$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.11 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 1,026$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.89 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed FlyQuest | 7c | 1,013$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,000$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed FlyQuest | 71c | 992.6$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.63 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed FlyQuest | 72c | 983.91$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.54 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed FlyQuest | 18c | 955.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed FlyQuest | 72c | 939.36$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 921.08$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.07 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 888.48$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.87 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 850.58$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.78 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed FlyQuest | 71c | 845.46$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.28 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 19c | 841.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 838.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.64 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed FlyQuest | 22c | 776.16$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 709.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.04 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest | 71c | 703.07$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.18 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 620.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked FlyQuest | 72c | 590.15$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.91 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FlyQuest | 49c | 548.34$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed FlyQuest | 40c | 542.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 530$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.91 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…1a8fbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 522.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed FlyQuest | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed FlyQuest | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 487.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 482.88$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 460.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed FlyQuest | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…fa24backed FlyQuest | 73c | 398.65$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 391.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 390$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 378.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 367.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed FlyQuest | 72c | 337.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 307.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 296.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed FlyQuest | 5c | 296$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 286.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…d48cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 284.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 275 | 40.4%111 W · 164 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 274.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 272.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked FlyQuest | 7c | 272.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 269.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.01 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 262.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed FlyQuest | 69c | 253.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 248.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 238.28$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 234.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed FlyQuest | 57c | 232.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 216.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…3a99backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 215.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 400 | 33%132 W · 268 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed FlyQuest | 67c | 214.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…ba20backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 206.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked FlyQuest | 69c | 201.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 197.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.