Lol · resolved market
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77502bb0063cf921feb2df65d428bedeea19e5c31f5904b47f0dd6c242e785e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 11,263$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.73 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed FlyQuest | 68c | 10,271$6,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.29 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FlyQuest | 67c | 9,774$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.71 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed FlyQuest | 70c | 9,002$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.15 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed FlyQuest | 46c | 6,443$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.49 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 6,238$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.78 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 6,193$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.7 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.97 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 4,956$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.76 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 4,887$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.23 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 4,850$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.59 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed FlyQuest | 68c | 4,843$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.97 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 4,788$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.18 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 4,715$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.26 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked FlyQuest | 67c | 3,466$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.07 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FlyQuest | 70c | 3,400$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.44 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 3,208$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 2,602$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.12 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FlyQuest | 65c | 2,366$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.19 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…0b5ebacked FlyQuest | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 1,874$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.5 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 1,726$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,664$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.08 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FlyQuest | 58c | 1,607$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.42 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed FlyQuest | 78c | 1,437$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FlyQuest | 70c | 1,339$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.12 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 1,170$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.7 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed FlyQuest | 69c | 1,170$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.7 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 1,062$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 1,035$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.85 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed Shopify Rebellion | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 980.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.95 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 928.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.89 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 918.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…36f7backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 907.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 870$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 865.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 832.51$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 786.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest | 67c | 776.99$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 733.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…97d1backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 710.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed FlyQuest | 69c | 707.54$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 700$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FlyQuest | 38c | 667$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.54 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 662.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 624.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FlyQuest | 63c | 621.74$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 621.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 599.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 599.59$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 566.34$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 556.57$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 556.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed FlyQuest | 60c | 533.62$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked FlyQuest | 68c | 530.88$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FlyQuest | 64c | 525.57$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed FlyQuest | 68c | 507.07$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 502.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked FlyQuest | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 268 | 56%150 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 483.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 476.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 449.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 440.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked FlyQuest | 71c | 439.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 410.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FlyQuest | 60c | 395$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 393$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed FlyQuest | 69c | 382.87$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked FlyQuest | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked FlyQuest | 41c | 364.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 328.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 323.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…44a8backed FlyQuest | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 318.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed FlyQuest | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 301.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 348 | 60.9%212 W · 136 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 144 | 25%36 W · 108 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 42c | 290.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 280.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed FlyQuest | 73c | 259.74$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 255.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 241.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 226.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 222$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 216.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 215$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 206.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed FlyQuest | 75c | 203$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…def4backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 200.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.