NBA · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87c696852b80f378ae877a928f2cc62c0ea1a68f0a398ca58d9cdfe853d2d521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,758,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,953,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,758,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 181,884$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.4 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 122,374$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.98 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 3c | 114,327$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.52 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 60,020$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.88 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 43,784$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 2c | 29,255$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.53 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 3c | 26,392$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.97 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,430$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 21,923$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.16 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 19,897$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 19,436$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad7…7608backed Yes | 6c | 19,262$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.31 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 16,926$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.63 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…d00bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,179$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 9c | 12,371$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Yes | 8c | 12,276$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.73 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ec…307abacked Yes | 7c | 10,242$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…886abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 9,589$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 2c | 9,118$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 2c | 9,087$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 8,717$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.21 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…3adabacked Yes | 4c | 8,141$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…685abacked Yes | 2c | 7,759$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…d199backed Yes | 3c | 7,367$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…4b7dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,055$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 6,652$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.21 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 3c | 6,617$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 6,482$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.79 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 5,361$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 5,045$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,944$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 4,888$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 2c | 4,644$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Yes | 0c | 4,422$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 3c | 4,141$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…6b33backed Yes | 5c | 4,091$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 4,005$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 4c | 3,854$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,762$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x233e…8583backed Yes | 3c | 3,613$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9f53backed Yes | 4c | 3,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 3,584$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,575$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…d717backed Yes | 2c | 3,381$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3173…d433backed Yes | 6c | 3,374$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…99a0backed Yes | 4c | 3,350$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ef…e76fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,233$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…b746backed Yes | 5c | 3,216$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…aa1ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,197$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…92c3backed Yes | 7c | 3,174$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,031$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 3,031$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…9afabacked Yes | 4c | 3,029$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 5c | 2,977$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…1eeebacked Yes | 6c | 2,913$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 2c | 2,797$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…1db5backed Yes | 6c | 2,724$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…be04backed Yes | 6c | 2,720$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…0dd5backed Yes | 8c | 2,644$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4e…dfb3backed Yes | 6c | 2,606$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7705backed Yes | 6c | 2,606$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…ea60backed Yes | 6c | 2,584$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…08c2backed Yes | 6c | 2,581$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,573$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 1c | 2,533$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…d09ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,519$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…8fdabacked Yes | 5c | 2,484$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 2c | 2,433$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c86…a5a4backed Yes | 6c | 2,399$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…295dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,385$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 3c | 2,341$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 2,309$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…3161backed Yes | 6c | 2,307$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 7c | 2,299$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…4804backed Yes | 5c | 2,295$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…bbcbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,291$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8335…71a6backed Yes | 5c | 2,227$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb10…9ae8backed Yes | 6c | 2,224$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…bb85backed Yes | 5c | 2,195$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4136…cb34backed Yes | 6c | 2,175$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…6c49backed Yes | 5c | 2,172$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…fb05backed Yes | 6c | 2,162$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…fa47backed Yes | 6c | 2,099$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…fe1dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,078$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 4c | 2,076$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…6b46backed Yes | 6c | 2,073$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…312dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,044$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…f221backed Yes | 6c | 2,039$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5fadbacked Yes | 5c | 2,035$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…b088backed Yes | 6c | 2,019$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…988cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,998$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…f1eebacked Yes | 6c | 1,957$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…fb66backed Yes | 2c | 1,931$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…afc5backed Yes | 6c | 1,928$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…771abacked Yes | 5c | 1,919$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 6cpaid | +234%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5d33backed Yes | 4c | 1,894$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.