TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0edb…92c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+886.5%+$435.26
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+110%+$75.53
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$48
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.93
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+93%+$45.36
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.56
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.63
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$83.24
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.26
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.06
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$88.87
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$89.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.34
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$44.91
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.9
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.45
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Portland Trail Blazers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.32
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.85
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.59
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.21
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+463.4%+$158.79
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+246.5%+$70.84
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$101.54
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.05
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.87
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.46
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.