NBA · resolved market
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f53bf6ef803cb4ffef6a98c14394a2ac05bf514cb6c0f4557bd050f782b38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,441,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,113,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,441,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 80,485$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 56,883$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.45 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 52,994$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…b7dfbacked Yes | 1c | 39,342$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64bf…8b5fbacked Yes | 2c | 35,977$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…96c3backed Yes | 2c | 32,384$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…e980backed Yes | 1c | 26,719$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…d506backed Yes | 2c | 25,461$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…505abacked Yes | 2c | 24,236$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3ed3backed Yes | 2c | 21,576$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…722abacked Yes | 1c | 21,306$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccc…3497backed Yes | 1c | 20,921$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe31…6bd3backed Yes | 1c | 19,107$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ce…b6c0backed Yes | 2c | 18,753$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7d…72b4backed Yes | 2c | 18,564$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…f23dbacked Yes | 3c | 18,558$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…ca34backed Yes | 1c | 18,347$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…183cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,051$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…a204backed Yes | 2c | 17,946$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…69c9backed Yes | 3c | 17,754$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…7af1backed Yes | 2c | 17,654$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…2ff6backed Yes | 1c | 17,608$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…a377backed Yes | 1c | 17,599$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…b3bdbacked Yes | 1c | 17,518$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…5de0backed Yes | 1c | 17,518$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…8492backed Yes | 1c | 17,492$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…a83ebacked Yes | 2c | 17,439$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…092dbacked Yes | 2c | 17,345$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc817…0f8abacked Yes | 3c | 17,302$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…75a7backed Yes | 3c | 17,287$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…682abacked Yes | 1c | 17,284$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…a820backed Yes | 1c | 17,075$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…d98dbacked Yes | 6c | 17,056$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 16,982$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…831cbacked Yes | 2c | 16,895$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…6330backed Yes | 1c | 16,790$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…effbbacked Yes | 2c | 16,705$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…653cbacked Yes | 2c | 16,648$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0d…98bbbacked Yes | 2c | 16,645$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…3b97backed Yes | 1c | 16,475$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…3710backed Yes | 1c | 16,464$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…ea64backed Yes | 1c | 16,457$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…f41dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,185$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…9aa8backed Yes | 1c | 15,996$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…d765backed Yes | 1c | 15,812$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…b3d9backed Yes | 1c | 15,717$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b2f3backed Yes | 1c | 15,681$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…4494backed Yes | 2c | 15,459$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…8d83backed Yes | 1c | 15,064$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…e173backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…5e66backed Yes | 2c | 14,666$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…2af9backed Yes | 2c | 14,344$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…e2b9backed Yes | 1c | 14,319$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…3e7cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,157$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 0c | 13,911$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…c42abacked Yes | 1c | 13,854$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…5734backed Yes | 2c | 13,552$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…942abacked Yes | 1c | 13,527$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…2d8bbacked Yes | 2c | 13,418$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…ea22backed Yes | 2c | 13,360$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…3f53backed Yes | 1c | 13,345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…63aabacked Yes | 2c | 13,322$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…406bbacked Yes | 1c | 13,211$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…31efbacked Yes | 2c | 13,150$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b5cfbacked Yes | 2c | 13,023$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…72f9backed Yes | 2c | 12,974$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…2a3bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,966$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…c49ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,721$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…7dafbacked Yes | 2c | 12,719$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…cb19backed Yes | 2c | 12,552$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…ef73backed Yes | 3c | 12,476$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…69d2backed Yes | 2c | 12,395$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…bcf4backed Yes | 1c | 11,887$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…1349backed Yes | 1c | 11,826$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…96e7backed Yes | 2c | 11,587$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…0d24backed Yes | 2c | 11,311$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…4848backed Yes | 2c | 11,032$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…dffbbacked Yes | 2c | 10,972$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…14adbacked Yes | 2c | 10,929$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 10,593$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…7ea7backed Yes | 1c | 10,443$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…05bfbacked Yes | 2c | 10,381$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…ed2abacked Yes | 1c | 10,297$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…b1babacked Yes | 1c | 10,127$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…811bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,051$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…aa7ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,818$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…c1b7backed Yes | 3c | 9,683$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…fcd9backed Yes | 3c | 9,683$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…f050backed Yes | 2c | 9,588$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…a6dbbacked Yes | 1c | 9,550$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd818…d678backed Yes | 1c | 9,550$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…4ee6backed Yes | 1c | 9,501$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0f…fb42backed Yes | 2c | 9,500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…abc1backed Yes | 1c | 9,392$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…8d70backed Yes | 1c | 9,392$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…7d8bbacked Yes | 3c | 9,342$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…17b4backed Yes | 2c | 9,294$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…6fb2backed Yes | 1c | 9,219$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e97…c672backed Yes | 1c | 9,218$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…5cc8backed Yes | 1c | 9,134$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.