MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0410f89f29b09931246b65ec4d28ccf135c497fd90783bb103a99bbd144b718d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 44c | 240,416$106,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,009.09 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Mariners | 56c | 93,122$52,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,973.52 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 55c | 73,892$40,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,221.6 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 56c | 45,206$25,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,890.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Astros | 3c | 37,925$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.75 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Astros | 45c | 36,946$16,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,701.09 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 57c | 25,960$14,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,162.85 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Mariners | 58c | 21,731$12,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,223.13 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 42c | 16,422$6,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,897.04 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 56c | 15,820$8,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,022.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 57c | 8,548$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.44 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 62c | 8,500$5,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.59 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 55c | 7,556$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.61 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Astros | 43c | 5,006$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.58 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Astros | 0c | 4,640$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mariners | 56c | 4,242$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.9 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mariners | 56c | 3,961$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.77 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mariners | 57c | 3,814$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.02 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Astros | 4c | 3,512$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 43c | 3,245$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.35 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Mariners | 58c | 3,150$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Astros | 44c | 2,581$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.73 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 1c | 2,546$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 42c | 2,387$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.51 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Astros | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Astros | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 3c | 1,948$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…57e8backed Astros | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Mariners | 57c | 1,378$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.73 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 27c | 1,181$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 78c | 1,156$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Astros | 4c | 1,120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Astros | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.04 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 45c | 1,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.41 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Mariners | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 35c | 928.57$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astros | 5c | 895$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Astros | 44c | 870.32$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.94 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 55c | 756.08$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.03 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mariners | 56c | 736.01$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astros | 3c | 733.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mariners | 54c | 704.82$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.18 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Astros | 35c | 701.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Astros | 14c | 700$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Astros | 45c | 625.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 42c | 625$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mariners | 57c | 616.04$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 60c | 592.44$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Mariners | 58c | 581.15$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.08 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 42c | 573.39$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 43c | 550$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 43c | 550$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Astros | 16c | 516.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Astros | 42c | 510$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 43c | 500.01$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Astros | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 12c | 499.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Astros | 43c | 483.28$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Mariners | 58c | 482.77$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Astros | 53c | 459$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Mariners | 57c | 451.12$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Astros | 42c | 404$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Mariners | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Astros | 45c | 388.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Astros | 25c | 325.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed Mariners | 68c | 294.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Astros | 6c | 260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Astros | 46c | 259.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 43c | 251.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 43c | 248.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…1e3dbacked Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Astros | 47c | 220.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Mariners | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Astros | 7c | 200.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mariners | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Mariners | 57c | 181.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Astros | 44c | 181.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Mariners | 57c | 173.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Mariners | 58c | 170.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mariners | 57c | 157.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 56c | 146$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Mariners | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Astros | 44c | 140$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Mariners | 57c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Astrosthis page
- NRFI: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.