MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5506829b8dd6ccf444445ebe6263dc24757526721f14a42ea6a2808da185ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 25,087$12,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,580.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 20,962$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,900 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 19,991$11,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,470.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 17,424$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.68 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Giants | 64c | 17,145$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.28 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 48c | 12,555$6,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.6 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 43c | 11,909$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,791.7 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,973$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,486.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 10,039$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.5 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.8 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 34c | 8,106$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 7,142$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.56 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 7,062$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 47c | 6,676$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.59 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 5,781$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 48c | 5,333$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.4 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 50c | 4,661$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 4,073$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.96 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Giants | 49c | 3,870$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Giants | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,405$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,420$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.72 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Giants | 50c | 2,388$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Giants | 43c | 2,347$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.38 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,248$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.03 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Giants | 39c | 2,198$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Giants | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Giants | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.41 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Giants | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,967$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,624$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,538$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Giants | 49c | 1,514$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.29 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,472$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Giants | 50c | 1,466$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.76 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Giants | 43c | 1,314$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Giants | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.71 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Giants | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,182$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.28 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Giants | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 37c | 1,106$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Giants | 52c | 1,037$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.21 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Giants | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Giants | 46c | 1,000$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Giants | 48c | 991.84$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.76 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Giants | 47c | 983.02$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Giants | 49c | 897.58$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.29 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Giants | 38c | 852.66$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.65 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Giants | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 661.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.43 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Giants | 18c | 567$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 48c | 517.79$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 49c | 500.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Giants | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Giants | 50c | 493.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…8130backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 447.01$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 48c | 445$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…0bb4backed Giants | 24c | 422.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Giants | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 382.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Giants | 52c | 381.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 380.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Giants | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Giants | 48c | 334.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Giants | 47c | 327.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 20c | 310.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Giants | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Giants | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Giants | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 32c | 286.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 278.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Giants | 49c | 265$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Giants | 49c | 263.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Giants | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Giants | 32c | 225.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 217.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Giants | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 48c | 206.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.