MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c47cd89e0a21fe9b52162cca2da901a32b0945d8757dd99b0863ee1e2f16e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Red Sox, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 46c | 238,785$109,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,943.85 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 139,181$75,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,157.53 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Red Sox | 54c | 100,563$54,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,303.99 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 47c | 59,273$27,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,477.32 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 45c | 24,583$11,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,058.58 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 46c | 20,431$9,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,032.74 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 54c | 18,250$9,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,855 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 70c | 10,119$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.91 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rays | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.65 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 45c | 4,069$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Red Sox | 25c | 3,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 3,730$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.23 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Red Sox | 47c | 3,538$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.49 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 21c | 3,137$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.06 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 45c | 3,130$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.5 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…55e6backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Red Sox | 55c | 2,676$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.82 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 23c | 2,271$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rays | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.89 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 17c | 2,151$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Red Sox | 39c | 2,116$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.92 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 67c | 2,036$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.51 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 70c | 2,018$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.17 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 77c | 1,963$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 4c | 1,839$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 22c | 1,807$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Rays | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rays | 45c | 1,772$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.12 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 67c | 1,690$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.97 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 69c | 1,488$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.31 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Red Sox | 30c | 1,323$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.54 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 28c | 1,024$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Rays | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Red Sox | 20c | 1,004$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 70c | 938.17$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 53c | 932.5$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.22 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 21c | 857.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Red Sox | 49c | 815.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 737.8$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…20e2backed Rays | 47c | 737.74$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Red Sox | 42c | 707.14$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Red Sox | 54c | 664.81$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a11…aab3backed Rays | 47c | 664.47$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 73c | 610.67$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 600.22$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Red Sox | 53c | 600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 54c | 592.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Red Sox | 55c | 551.62$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Red Sox | 26c | 499.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…915abacked Red Sox | 55c | 490.72$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102a…c161backed Red Sox | 55c | 472.21$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…940bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 459.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Red Sox | 24c | 450$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 54c | 406$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Red Sox | 55c | 402.85$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Red Sox | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Rays | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…fe40backed Red Sox | 55c | 362.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Red Sox | 25c | 347.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Red Sox | 55c | 335.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Red Sox | 14c | 319.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Red Sox | 40c | 310.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Red Sox | 32c | 287.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Rays | 78c | 255.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rays | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 45c | 246$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 71c | 238.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 47c | 229.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ab08backed Red Sox | 55c | 227.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Red Sox | 19c | 227.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 38c | 226.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Red Sox | 52c | 224.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…fbd1backed Red Sox | 31c | 207.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rays | 79c | 207.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Red Sox | 15c | 205.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Red Sox | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Red Sox | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…a8c4backed Red Sox | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Red Sox | 55c | 183.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 55c | 182.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Raysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.